๐จ Crude Oil Alert: Geopolitical Risk Spikes
๐ข๏ธ Brent crude has surged over the last few hours, jumping nearly 5% to $96/bbl, after rebounding sharply from Fridayโs plunge to $86/bbl
๐ The move is driven by a sudden escalation in West Asia tensions, centred around the Strait of Hormuz
โก Trigger:
๐บ๐ธ U.S. Navy seizes an Iranian-flagged cargo vessel
๐ฎ๐ท Iran calls it โarmed maritime piracyโ
๐ Followed by drone attacks on U.S. warships
๐ซ Strait of Hormuz now closed
โณ This escalation comes just ahead of the April 22, 2026 (Tuesday morning IST) ceasefire deadline
๐ค Diplomacy faltering:
๐ต๐ฐ U.S.-Iran talks stalled
โ Iran reportedly rejects participation
๐ฃ๏ธ U.S. rhetoric hardens:
๐ฌ President Trump warns of aggressive retaliation
๐ VP JD Vance not leading delegation due to security concerns
๐ Market View:
๐ฐ Until the deadline, crude remains purely headline-driven
โก Expect sharp intraday volatility
๐ Key Levels:
๐ข Support: $90/bbl
๐ด Resistance: $100/bbl, $104/bbl